Telemundo Poll Reveals 25% Of Latinos Plan To Vote For Trump In 2020 And Twitter Has Opinions
Yes, como lo leen. But this should not surprise us in the least. One of the biggest misconceptions that the general population in the United States has is that the Latino population is a unique group with the same political inclinations. However, that is far, far from the truth. The Latino population is very diverse. The United States has enjoyed migration from about every single Latin American country.
These migrants have moved to the United States for all sorts of reasons. Some have escaped guerrilla warfare, others fled communist regimes in Cuba and other countries and therefore align with more conservative candidates who hold a tough stance in international affairs. Other groups have been in the States from way back, when Arizona, New Mexico and other states were actually part of Mexico. Some of these Latino citizens are against immigration, wrongfully accusing new migrants of giving Latinos a bad name. Other Latinos are of course highly involves in activism and human rights issues.
The Latino vote is the Holy Grail of American politics today. Why? Simple: numbers. As USA Today reports: “About 32 million Latinos will be eligible to vote in 2020, compared with 30 million eligible black voters, according to the analysis”.
25% of Latinos will likely vote for Trump. The Telemundo poll is raising eyebrows, but how surprising is it really?
The poll was conducted among 1,000 voters and has about 3.4% margin of error either way. The fact that a quarter of respondents would vote for Trump despite his borderline racist stance on immigration might seem like an unexpected revelation, but it shouldn’t be so. We gotta remember that in Florida, for example, some of the most influential groups are Cuban and Venezuelan exiles who despise the left-leaning governments in their countries.
64% of Latinos wanna drive Trump out of the White House.
The poll also revealed that more than half of Latinos want Trump gone, while 11% remain indecisive. This might seem like a big win for Democrats, but the fact that some Latinos will still vote for Trump despite the ICE reign of terror during his administration could also be read as a big win for the former reality TV star.
Women, young people and those living on the West Coast push anti-Trump numbers up.
According to the poll, rejection to Trump among women sits at a 66% (he has never been much of a ladies’ man, particularly after the “grab them by the pussy” episode). 69% of under 50s want to say adiós to POTUS. Tellingly, among those living in the Pacific Coast 70% want him out, perhaps a response to his anti-immigration policies and his jurisdictional war against the state government of California.
57% of Latinos support impeachment and 34% oppose it. This reflects the Latino congressional vote in 2018.
Of course the question in everyone’s mind is if Trump will even run in 2020 or if he will be impeached and removed from office. Of course impeachment is a lengthy and divisive process and we might not find out the political fate of the most powerful country on Earth until way into the election campaign.
But the majority of Latinos want the impeachment process to go ahead, perhaps due to the fact that they come from countries where impunity runs rampant and there are generally no repercussions for alleged instances of corruption. If the 2018 midterm elections were any indication of how Latinos are leaning in the 2020 election, this result reaffirms it.
Among the potential Democratic candidates, Joe Biden takes the lead among Latinos.
The other big question surrounding the election is who on Earth will run opposite Trump in 2020. The Democratic field is still wide open. However, as with national polls that take into account the whole of the population, former Vice President Joe Biden (a key figure in the whole impeachment drama) has the lead among Latinos with 26%, ahead of Bernie Sanders (18%) and Elizabeth Warren (10%). Some sectors of the Latino population are still resistant to the idea of a woman ruling over the Oval Office.
Julián Castro’s numbers among Latinos will surprise you.
Un mísero 2%! Yes, single digits for the one Latino candidate in the race. His campaign never really caught fire and it was perhaps a bit premature. However, we should not rule out a future run given his proven political resilience and his message of hope and inclusive policies. It just wasn’t his time yet.
Will we see more of him? This truly astonishing number comes even as Castro has made Latino engagement a cornerstone of his campaign. As USA Today reports: “Castro has made Latino and immigrant issues a cornerstone of his campaign. His first trip as a presidential candidate this year was to a Latino summit in Puerto Rico, and he has highlighted changes he would make to Trump’s immigration policies”.